ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmans

● quote 50 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $45.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $594.5KEvent: ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmans
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution20Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:160 trades$347.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 42 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTiago Boschmans (NO)$99.9K@ 100¢·0xaa3c…5607

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$110.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$110.5K
6h
−$74.1K
tracked
$347.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$2.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 50 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 81 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 42 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Alekseychuk and Tiago Boschmans in the ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Alekseychuk' if Artem Alekseychuk advances against Tiago Boschmans. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Boschmans' if Tiago Boschmans advances against Artem Alekseychuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tiago Boschmans3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Tiago Boschmans3h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Tiago Boschmans@ 99.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.1pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Tiago Boschmans@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 3.3pp · near-book depth $7.9K$432 · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$110.5K
6h$74.1K
24h$74.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h8.9¢▼ below by 8.8pp
VWAP 7d8.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$3.3K
65¢
$10.0K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$378
50¢
$715
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$9.2K
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$29.7K
15¢
$21.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$13.1K
0¢
← now
$249.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTiago Boschmans (NO)$99.9K@ 99.9¢0xaa3c…5607🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTiago Boschmans (NO)$12.1K@ 99.9¢0x7afc…ea2c🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLTiago Boschmans (NO)$39.1K@ 99.0¢0xe30e…6b87🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLTiago Boschmans (NO)$55.2K@ 99.0¢0xe30e…6b87🐋about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xaa3c…5607Tiago Boschmans$99.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0xe30e…6b87Tiago Boschmans$82.2K
BUY VWAP 64.9¢·42 fills
0x7afc…ea2cTiago Boschmans$12.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.