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Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)

● quote 57s ago
Sports→Closes: 19 minutesLiquidity: $115.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $15.5KEvent: SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC - More Markets
16.5¢
SS Lazio
83.5¢
Genoa CFC
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$39.5K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 121 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGenoa CFC$29.6K@ 85¢·0xe427…8266

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$7
tracked
$39.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Genoa CFC · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 121 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 18:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Genoa CFC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for August 30 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SS Lazio" if SS Lazio win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Genoa CFC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor SS Lazio; negative values favor Genoa CFC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSS Lazio · $0
6hSS Lazio · $7
24hGenoa CFC · $39.5K

SS Lazio price VWAP

Volume-weighted SS Lazio price. Genoa CFC fills are converted to the complementary SS Lazio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h16.5¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d16.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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SS Lazio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$9.9K
15¢
← now
$29.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGenoa CFC$29.6K@ 84.7¢0xe427…8266🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe427…8266Genoa CFC$29.6K
BUY VWAP 84.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.