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Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui

UncategorizedSettlement: Moez EcharguiLiquidity: $638.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $244.7KEvent: Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui
0.0¢
Otto Virtanen payout
100.0¢
Moez Echargui payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Moez Echargui · $1.7K net·3 wallets·$11.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOtto Virtanen$30.0K@ 66¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Moez Echargui. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-25 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Moez Echargui in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Moez Echargui. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Otto Virtanen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Otto Virtanen@ 56.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Otto Virtanen; negative values favor Moez Echargui. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoez Echargui · $421
6hOtto Virtanen · $65.8K
24hOtto Virtanen · $65.8K

Otto Virtanen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Otto Virtanen price. Moez Echargui fills are converted to the complementary Otto Virtanen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.8¢▼ below by 47.8pp
VWAP 7d47.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Otto Virtanen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$31.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$9.0K
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$40.0K
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$7.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$119
5¢
$121
0¢
← now
$11.1K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOtto Virtanen$10.0K@ 47.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYOtto Virtanen$10.0K@ 47.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYOtto Virtanen$10.0K@ 46.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYOtto Virtanen$30.0K@ 65.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Otto Virtanen$69.0K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.