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Vikings vs. Buccaneers

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $524.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $128.8KEvent: Vikings vs. Buccaneers
52.5¢
Vikings
47.5¢
Buccaneers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$47.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Buccaneers · $41.4K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$41.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBuccaneers$24.0K@ 48¢·wan123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$11
6h
−$21.0K
tracked
$47.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: Buccaneers · $41.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings".

•If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:05PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $43.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.4K gross
Herdonia2 linked markets · $10.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Buccaneers@ 48.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Buccaneers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $11
6hBuccaneers · $21.0K
24hBuccaneers · $47.0K

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Buccaneers fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d52.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$73.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBuccaneers$24.0K@ 48.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wan123Buccaneers$24.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
quavooBuccaneers$10.3K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·15 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.