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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $272.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $320.7KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
49.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
50.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$170.5K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $12.0K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$37.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$35.1K@ 51¢·0x6b22…cf22

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $7.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.8K
6h
−$5.4K
tracked
$170.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $12.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $47.5K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $22.4K gross
0x161a…41032 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 52.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Baltimore Orioles UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $898 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $7.8K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $5.4K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $7.5K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h47.8¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d47.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$59.9K
45¢
← now
$85.3K
40¢
$25.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$35.1K@ 51.0¢0x6b22…cf22🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$25.3K@ 56.0¢0xfe54…41d6🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$11.4K@ 52.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$24.5K@ 49.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$14.3K@ 49.0¢0x3061…dd00🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x6b22…cf22Tampa Bay Rays$35.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0xfe54…41d6Baltimore Orioles$25.3K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingTampa Bay Rays$24.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rBaltimore Orioles$18.2K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·5 fills
0x3061…dd00Tampa Bay Rays$14.3K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
FeromontBaltimore Orioles$11.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.