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Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul

UncategorizedSettlement: Tommy PaulLiquidity: $540.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul
0.0¢
Alexander Zverev payout
100.0¢
Tommy Paul payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $11.2K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$96.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTommy Paul$29.9K@ 100¢·kamloic

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tommy Paul. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Tommy Paul@ 36.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 87.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 84.0¢4d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Tommy Paul. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $40.3K
6hAlexander Zverev · $137.1K
24hAlexander Zverev · $141.7K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Tommy Paul fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h56.1¢▼ below by 56.1pp
VWAP 7d56.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$17.8K
90¢
$12.3K
85¢
$55.4K
80¢
$66.3K
75¢
$3.9K
70¢
$55.3K
65¢
$48.2K
60¢
$42.9K
55¢
$12.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$3.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$45.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$72.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTommy Paul$29.9K@ 99.9¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—4 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$20.0K@ 87.9¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—4 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$12.6K@ 41.9¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—4 days ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$11.0K@ 97.0¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—4 days ago
SELLAlexander Zverev$17.5K@ 66.5¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—4 days ago
SELLTommy Paul$13.4K@ 37.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
SELLTommy Paul$13.4K@ 37.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYTommy Paul$10.0K@ 20.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$11.5K@ 81.9¢
anon.1980.1230x4699…e03c
🐋—4 days ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$23.0K@ 85.3¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—4 days ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$22.4K@ 85.6¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hurricanAlexander Zverev$23.0K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·1 fill
beeemwAlexander Zverev$22.4K
BUY VWAP 85.6¢·1 fill
ssj3Tommy Paul$20.0K
BUY VWAP 87.9¢·1 fill
eokhoAlexander Zverev$16.8K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·4 fills
0x5f65…2036Tommy Paul$14.4K
BUY VWAP 20.1¢·3 fills
kamloicTommy Paul$12.6K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·1 fill
dmoralezAlexander Zverev$12.1K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·7 fills
anon.1980.123Alexander Zverev$11.5K
BUY VWAP 81.9¢·1 fill
0x5fd2…afceAlexander Zverev$11.0K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.