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Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Sports→Settlement: Chicago CubsLiquidity: $159.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.8KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
100.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
0.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:32 trades$82.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $31.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$31.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$12.7K@ 77¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Chicago Cubs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5e94…5ba12 linked markets · $35.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago Cubs2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 82.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $47.3K → $93 · 35s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $9.6K
6hChicago Cubs · $36.9K
24hChicago Cubs · $33.7K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.3¢▲ above by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d70.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.9K
90¢
$13
85¢
$0
80¢
$259
75¢
$19.8K
70¢
$7
65¢
$54
60¢
$21.4K
55¢
$18.2K
50¢
$7.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$12.7K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$10.8K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Chicago Cubs$23.5K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.