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Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

UncategorizedSettlement: Marta KostyukLiquidity: $696.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $634.0KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
100.0¢
Marta Kostyuk payout
0.0¢
Mirra Andreeva payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mirra Andreeva · $12.0K net·7 wallets·$51.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarta Kostyuk$17.3K@ 100¢·hurrican

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marta Kostyuk. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Mirra Andreeva in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Marta Kostyuk@ 66.0¢5d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Mirra Andreeva@ 41.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Mirra Andreeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMirra Andreeva · $13.8K
6hMirra Andreeva · $75.2K
24hMirra Andreeva · $88.4K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Mirra Andreeva fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.6¢▲ above by 34.4pp
VWAP 7d65.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$57.6K
90¢
$33.5K
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$24.3K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$10.1K
60¢
$21.7K
55¢
$6.7K
50¢
$21.3K
45¢
$20.5K
40¢
$29.2K
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$7.2K
25¢
$35.9K
20¢
$4.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMarta Kostyuk$17.3K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—5 days ago
SELLMarta Kostyuk$14.8K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$14.3K@ 82.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—5 days ago
SELLMarta Kostyuk$13.7K@ 61.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
SELLMarta Kostyuk$12.2K@ 54.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$12.0K@ 27.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—5 days ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$13.2K@ 54.4¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hurricanMarta Kostyuk$14.3K
BUY VWAP 82.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardMirra Andreeva$14.1K
BUY VWAP 73.5¢·2 fills
swisstonyMarta Kostyuk$14.0K
BUY VWAP 80.6¢·4 fills
AGUGavaMirra Andreeva$13.2K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Marta Kostyuk$12.0K
BUY VWAP 27.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.