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Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima

UncategorizedSettlement: Brandon NakashimaLiquidity: $347.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima
0.0¢
Nuno Borges payout
100.0¢
Brandon Nakashima payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Brandon Nakashima · $30.0K net·12 wallets·$90.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBrandon Nakashima$63.2K@ 95¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Brandon Nakashima. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Brandon Nakashima in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Brandon Nakashima@ 99.9¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nuno Borges@ 38.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -20.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Brandon Nakashima@ 63.0¢4d ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Brandon Nakashima@ 63.0¢4d ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuno Borges; negative values favor Brandon Nakashima. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuno Borges · $105.3K
6hNuno Borges · $50.2K
24hNuno Borges · $30.5K

Nuno Borges price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuno Borges price. Brandon Nakashima fills are converted to the complementary Nuno Borges probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.5¢▼ below by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d21.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuno Borges price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$18.3K
50¢
$87
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$21.8K
35¢
$135.8K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$15.2K
20¢
$24.1K
15¢
$48.7K
10¢
$16.4K
5¢
$98.0K
0¢
← now
$74.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBrandon Nakashima$19.4K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—4 days ago
SELLBrandon Nakashima$11.4K@ 99.0¢
PAROLIBOYS0x59ab…f844
🐋—4 days ago
SELLBrandon Nakashima$63.2K@ 94.6¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—4 days ago
SELLBrandon Nakashima$20.8K@ 84.3¢
PAROLIBOYS0x59ab…f844
🐋—4 days ago
BUYNuno Borges$28.7K@ 38.0¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$15.8K@ 63.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$22.8K@ 63.0¢
PAROLIBOYS0x59ab…f844
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$11.0K@ 63.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$31.3K@ 62.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—4 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$11.7K@ 60.5¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaBrandon Nakashima$31.3K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
kamloicNuno Borges$28.7K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
dmoralezBrandon Nakashima$23.2K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·16 fills
PAROLIBOYSBrandon Nakashima$22.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
swisstonyBrandon Nakashima$19.6K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·9 fills
AGUGavaBrandon Nakashima$15.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
xabidakingBrandon Nakashima$11.7K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·1 fill
hurricanBrandon Nakashima$11.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.