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Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti

UncategorizedSettlement: Lorenzo MusettiLiquidity: $350.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $285.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti
0.0¢
Jaime Faria payout
100.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Musetti · $3.6K net·3 wallets·$11.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Musetti$11.1K@ 74¢·AGUGava

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Musetti. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Lorenzo Musetti in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaime Faria; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Musetti · $3.4K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $35.4K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $34.8K

Jaime Faria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaime Faria price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Jaime Faria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.5¢▼ below by 24.5pp
VWAP 7d24.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaime Faria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$7
25¢
$57.7K
20¢
$12.6K
15¢
$3.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$35
0¢
← now
$4.1K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLorenzo Musetti$11.1K@ 74.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AGUGavaLorenzo Musetti$18.3K
BUY VWAP 73.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.