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Quebec City: Alexei Popyrin vs Hugo Gaston

UncategorizedSettlement: Hugo GastonLiquidity: $142.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $118.0KEvent: Quebec City: Alexei Popyrin vs Hugo Gaston
0.0¢
Alexei Popyrin payout
100.0¢
Hugo Gaston payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Gaston · $25.6K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$35.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHugo Gaston$14.2K@ 85¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hugo Gaston. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-27 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Hugo Gaston in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hugo Gaston@ 100.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexei Popyrin; negative values favor Hugo Gaston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $33.8K
6hHugo Gaston · $28.1K
24hHugo Gaston · $28.1K

Alexei Popyrin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexei Popyrin price. Hugo Gaston fills are converted to the complementary Alexei Popyrin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.7¢▼ below by 23.7pp
VWAP 7d23.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexei Popyrin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.7K
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$6
30¢
$12.5K
25¢
$3.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$14.2K
10¢
$7.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6.0K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHugo Gaston$14.2K@ 84.8¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—3 days ago
BUYHugo Gaston$12.3K@ 70.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—3 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cHugo Gaston$30.3K
BUY VWAP 76.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.