PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: 23 minutesLiquidity: $406.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $135.6KEvent: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
46.5¢
YES
53.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection81Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$64.5K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder (NO)$41.2K@ 52¢·0xb727…2a9d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$52.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$52.3K
6h
−$64.5K
tracked
$64.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$10.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 39 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 20 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 53.0¢26m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$52.3K
6h−$64.5K
24h−$64.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h47.8¢▼ below by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d47.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$64.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder (NO)$11.0K@ 53.0¢0x8239…d9a3🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYUnder (NO)$41.2K@ 52.0¢0xb727…2a9d🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUnder (NO)$10.7K@ 52.0¢
dv-pm0x56ac…d77e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
36.5¢$74.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
41.5¢$3.3Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
73.5¢$647.3Kpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$447.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$371.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
37.5¢$238.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$219.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb727…2a9dUnder$41.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
0x8239…d9a3Under$11.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
dv-pmUnder$10.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.