PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5

● quote 1106 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 21 hoursLiquidity: $187.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $79.2KEvent: Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries
2.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:10 trades$29.9K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1200 min agoofficial metadata 1100 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder (NO)$19.3K@ 49¢·0xa084…bb99

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$15.3K
tracked
$29.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$58 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 1106 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1200 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1100 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 19 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Minnesota Lynx and Golden State Valkyries combine to score 163 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 163, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa084…bb992 linked markets · $42.9K gross
0xb4c8…8f5a2 linked markets · $27.1K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $6.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $243 → $22 · 107s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h−$15.3K
24h−$15.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h50.9¢▼ below by 48.9pp
VWAP 7d50.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$29.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$62
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYUnder (NO)$19.3K@ 49.0¢0xa084…bb99🐋—about 21 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
41.5¢$3.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$448.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
47.5¢$437.9Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$372.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
37.5¢$238.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.4¢$220.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5
48.5¢$213.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa084…bb99Under$22.6K
BUY VWAP 49.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.