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Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $286.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $204.0KEvent: Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
98.7¢
Colorado Rockies
1.4¢
Washington Nationals
0.7¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$61.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Colorado Rockies · $5.0K net·6 wallets·$10.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$17.2K@ 56¢·sbsigner

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Washington Nationals pressure: $2.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.0K
6h
−$16.0K
tracked
$61.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Colorado Rockies · $5.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.7¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -56.3pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Washington Nationals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for August 26 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $16.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.1K gross
0xe134…f6da2 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Washington Nationals2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Washington Nationals@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Washington Nationals DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $326 → $187 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Colorado Rockies; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $2.0K
6hWashington Nationals · $16.0K
24hWashington Nationals · $14.6K

Colorado Rockies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Colorado Rockies price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Colorado Rockies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.7¢
VWAP 24h48.2¢▲ above by 50.5pp
VWAP 7d48.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Colorado Rockies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$7
85¢
$33
80¢
$8.0K
75¢
$321
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$18
55¢
$426
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$9.0K
40¢
$31.8K
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$6.3K
25¢
$3
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWashington Nationals$17.2K@ 56.0¢
sbsigner0x1b47…d814
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sbsignerWashington Nationals$21.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.