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Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)

Sports→Settlement: Minnesota LynxLiquidity: $48.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $179.1KEvent: Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics
100.0¢
Minnesota Lynx payout
0.0¢
Washington Mystics payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Mystics · $6.5K net·3 wallets·$6.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMinnesota Lynx$74.2K@ 100¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Minnesota Lynx. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx" if the Minnesota Lynx win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 21 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx" if the Minnesota Lynx win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.8K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $781 gross
0xca75…05a62 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Lynx@ 49.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Lynx; negative values favor Washington Mystics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Lynx · $0
6hWashington Mystics · $63.2K
24hWashington Mystics · $66.5K

Minnesota Lynx price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Lynx price. Washington Mystics fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Lynx probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.3¢▲ above by 16.7pp
VWAP 7d83.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Lynx price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$74.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$9.2K
45¢
$26.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMinnesota Lynx$74.2K@ 99.9¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMinnesota Lynx$21.8K@ 48.7¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

winwin518168Minnesota Lynx$21.8K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.