PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?

● quote 13s ago
Crypto→Closes: 9 daysLiquidity: $63.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $53.0KEvent: What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
39.5¢
YES
60.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$16.4K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 121 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$7.7K@ 67¢·tsihkodiives

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$665
tracked
$16.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: NO · $7.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 121 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x06dc…452418 linked markets · $289.5K gross
0xf705…3ca716 linked markets · $254.9K gross
Mpire16 linked markets · $130.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $665
24hNO · $7.1K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▼ below by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d39.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
← now
$5.6K
30¢
$8.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
1.1¢$253.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
4.7¢$130.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
48.0¢$103.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
13.9¢$95.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
0.1¢$94.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
0.3¢$88.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
0.7¢$73.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
75.5¢$71.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.