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Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $147.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $101.7KEvent: Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain
90.5¢
YES payout
9.5¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:14 trades$12.5K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 154 min agoofficial metadata 114 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$4.3K·2 wallets·$4.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOliver Tarvet (YES)$4.3K@ 84¢·HomeRunHazard

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Tarvet and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Lucas Poullain. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Oliver Tarvet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$28
6h+$4.8K
24h+$4.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current90.5¢
VWAP 24h76.4¢▲ above by 14.1pp
VWAP 7d76.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$240
90¢
← now
$32
85¢
$0
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$3.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity