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Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche

UncategorizedSettlement: Luca Van AsscheLiquidity: $257.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $444.5KEvent: Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche
0.0¢
Hugo Gaston payout
100.0¢
Luca Van Assche payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luca Van Assche · $57.2K net·7 wallets(3🐋)·$83.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuca Van Assche$39.7K@ 64¢·HVAB

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Luca Van Assche. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Luca Van Assche in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Luca Van Assche. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Luca Van Assche@ 82.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Luca Van Assche@ 82.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Gaston; negative values favor Luca Van Assche. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $17.3K
6hLuca Van Assche · $65.2K
24hLuca Van Assche · $65.2K

Hugo Gaston price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Gaston price. Luca Van Assche fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Gaston probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.7¢▼ below by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d21.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Gaston price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$7.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$39.7K
30¢
$18.6K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
$31.4K
15¢
$42.8K
10¢
$41.2K
5¢
$4.3K
0¢
← now
$16.9K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLuca Van Assche$34.0K@ 88.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$11.5K@ 77.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$10.5K@ 80.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
SELLLuca Van Assche$10.8K@ 82.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLuca Van Assche$39.7K@ 63.8¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—1 day ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABLuca Van Assche$39.7K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Luca Van Assche$34.0K
BUY VWAP 88.0¢·1 fill
tennischampLuca Van Assche$11.5K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Luca Van Assche$10.5K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.