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Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $144.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $59.6KEvent: Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets
45.5¢
Real Madrid CF
54.5¢
Real Betis Balompié
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$24.0K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Real Madrid CF · $1.7K net·2 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYReal Betis Balompié$10.1K@ 55¢·gransaaa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Real Madrid CF pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
−$10.3K
tracked
$24.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Real Madrid CF · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 49

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Real Madrid CF or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-04 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Betis Balompié".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for September 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Betis Balompié". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $6.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Real Madrid CF; negative values favor Real Betis Balompié. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hReal Madrid CF · $1.4K
6hReal Betis Balompié · $10.3K
24hReal Betis Balompié · $11.3K

Real Madrid CF price VWAP

Volume-weighted Real Madrid CF price. Real Betis Balompié fills are converted to the complementary Real Madrid CF probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d45.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Real Madrid CF price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$24.0K
40¢
$12
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYReal Betis Balompié$10.1K@ 55.0¢
gransaaa0x4d30…a42d
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gransaaaReal Betis Balompié$14.9K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.