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Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo

UncategorizedSettlement: Adolfo VallejoLiquidity: $80.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $480.1KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo
0.0¢
Pablo Carreno Busta payout
100.0¢
Adolfo Vallejo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:79 trades$170.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pablo Carreno Busta · $4.5K net·4 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdolfo Vallejo$47.1K@ 98¢·007theone1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Adolfo Vallejo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Adolfo Vallejo in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Adolfo Vallejo@ 89.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Adolfo Vallejo2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Adolfo Vallejo@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Adolfo Vallejo UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $68.8K → $15.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pablo Carreno Busta; negative values favor Adolfo Vallejo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdolfo Vallejo · $53.5K
6hAdolfo Vallejo · $58.4K
24hAdolfo Vallejo · $52.6K

Pablo Carreno Busta price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pablo Carreno Busta price. Adolfo Vallejo fills are converted to the complementary Pablo Carreno Busta probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.9¢▼ below by 22.9pp
VWAP 7d22.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pablo Carreno Busta price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$17.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.9K
40¢
$26.0K
35¢
$8.8K
30¢
$13.9K
25¢
$5.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$34.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.2K
0¢
← now
$58.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$47.1K@ 97.7¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAdolfo Vallejo$25.6K@ 82.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAdolfo Vallejo$24.3K@ 58.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

007theone1Adolfo Vallejo$52.0K
BUY VWAP 97.7¢·3 fills
0x5f65…2036Adolfo Vallejo$24.3K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.