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Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Li

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $299.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $112.3KEvent: Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Li
1.4¢
Camila Osorio
98.7¢
Ann Li
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:80 trades$74.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ann Li · $2.9K net·4 wallets·$2.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnn Li$18.0K@ 54¢·alaskabaked

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Ann Li pressure: $23.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.5K
6h
−$62.0K
tracked
$74.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Ann Li · $2.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +37.8pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 37.8pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ann Li or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Camila Osorio and Ann Li in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camila Osorio' if Camila Osorio advances against Ann Li. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Camila Osorio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ann Li44m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ann Li@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Camila Osorio DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $12.4K → $2.6K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Camila Osorio; negative values favor Ann Li. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnn Li · $23.5K
6hAnn Li · $62.0K
24hAnn Li · $62.0K

Camila Osorio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Camila Osorio price. Ann Li fills are converted to the complementary Camila Osorio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.4¢
VWAP 24h31.5¢▼ below by 30.2pp
VWAP 7d31.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Camila Osorio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$35.3K
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$2.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$190
15¢
$0
10¢
$325
5¢
$3.6K
0¢
← now
$27.5K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAnn Li$11.9K@ 99.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—1 minute ago
BUYAnn Li$12.6K@ 99.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYAnn Li$18.0K@ 54.0¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

alaskabakedAnn Li$18.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
007theone1Ann Li$14.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·2 fills
HVABAnn Li$12.6K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0xf3a1…bf4bAnn Li$11.8K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.