Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $205.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
16.5¢
YES
83.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction51wallets18execution93priority62data 88%💡 14 smart
24h sample:498 trades$620.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $16.2K·14 wallets(1🐋)·$100.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$20.0K@ 57¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$293.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$293.0K
6h
−$270.5K
tracked
$620.6K

14 verified profitable wallets: −$16.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 62

Since latest large flow: -39.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 12:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 1 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion522 linked markets · $114.3K gross
0xaaed…44f82 linked markets · $41.8K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $39.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY TEAM VISION@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.8K$4.1K · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1h$293.0K
6h$270.5K
24h$270.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h33.1¢▼ below by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d33.1¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$26.5K
50¢
$57.4K
45¢
$178.0K
40¢
$13.2K
35¢
$59.8K
30¢
$6.5K
25¢
$18.5K
20¢
$27.1K
15¢
← now
$28.7K
10¢
$90.4K
5¢
$114.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.0K@ 85.1¢
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR0x2929…1dd0
🐋6 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$15.5K@ 93.3¢0xaaed…44f8🐋10 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$19.4K@ 65.0¢
sdfqq10xce7d…898e
🐋22 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$15.0K@ 47.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋31 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$11.6K@ 53.8¢
CyberScore.live0x3413…8ff2
🐋33 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$20.0K@ 56.8¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.0K@ 54.0¢0x9679…9315🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vtcchampion52Team Spirit$52.7K
BUY VWAP 90.9¢·27 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Spirit$27.0K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·6 fills
sdfqq1Team Spirit$24.8K
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·3 fills
0xe16d…5e30TEAM VISION$24.0K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·4 fills
0x19fb…bd68Team Spirit$18.2K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·7 fills
CORGI8TEAM VISION$16.3K
BUY VWAP 38.9¢·2 fills
0xaaed…44f8Team Spirit$15.5K
BUY VWAP 93.3¢·1 fill
VladooosTeam Spirit$14.9K
BUY VWAP 94.3¢·4 fills
HdisllbsjTeam Spirit$14.8K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·3 fills
0x540d…c8f9Team Spirit$12.2K
BUY VWAP 78.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.