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Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $250.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $74.9KEvent: Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks
53.5¢
Atlanta Dream
46.5¢
Los Angeles Sparks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$22.4K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 51 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Dream · $10.1K net·5 wallets·$10.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Sparks$7.6K@ 49¢·winwin518168

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Atlanta Dream pressure: $4.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.2K
6h
+$5.9K
tracked
$22.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Atlanta Dream · $10.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 51 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Dream or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-25 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 24 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream" if the Atlanta Dream win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.1K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $10.5K gross
sentrio2 linked markets · $24 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor Los Angeles Sparks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Dream · $4.2K
6hAtlanta Dream · $5.9K
24hAtlanta Dream · $4.5K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. Los Angeles Sparks fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h51.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d51.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$22.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.