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Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt

UncategorizedSettlement: Kai WehneltLiquidity: $135.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $130.2KEvent: Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt
0.0¢
Robert Strombachs payout
100.0¢
Kai Wehnelt payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:34 trades$54.7K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1279 min agoofficial metadata 1245 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kai Wehnelt · $1.3K net·4 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKai Wehnelt$11.8K@ 100¢·kapper-betka

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kai Wehnelt. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Kai Wehnelt in the Augsburg, Germany, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Kai Wehnelt. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Robert Strombachs; negative values favor Kai Wehnelt. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRobert Strombachs · $11.8K
6hRobert Strombachs · $18.7K
24hRobert Strombachs · $18.7K

Robert Strombachs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Robert Strombachs price. Kai Wehnelt fills are converted to the complementary Robert Strombachs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.7¢▼ below by 16.7pp
VWAP 7d16.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Robert Strombachs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$108
15¢
$25.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$19.3K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKai Wehnelt$11.8K@ 99.9¢
kapper-betka0x6129…0807
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYKai Wehnelt$10.1K@ 85.0¢
kapper-betka0x6129…0807
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYRobert Strombachs$10.0K@ 45.3¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 22 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Robert Strombachs$20.0K
BUY VWAP 27.4¢·4 fills
kapper-betkaKai Wehnelt$10.1K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.