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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
99.9¢
KT Rolster
0.1¢
HANJIN BRION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:233 trades$453.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:HANJIN BRION · $1.8K net·33 wallets(3🐋)·$201.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$73.8K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

KT Rolster pressure: $93.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$93.5K
6h
+$62.4K
tracked
$453.4K

33 verified profitable wallets: HANJIN BRION · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest thesis flip: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from KT Rolster or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION.

•This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $80.9K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $9.2K gross
Future-Tarot-Trader2 linked markets · $8.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

THESIS FLIPBUY KT Rolster@ 94.0¢25m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY KT Rolster@ 96.0¢28m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: KT Rolster UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $700 → $35.8K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor HANJIN BRION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $93.5K
6hKT Rolster · $62.4K
24hKT Rolster · $62.4K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. HANJIN BRION fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h80.5¢▲ above by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d80.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$223.2K
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$13.6K
80¢
$3.8K
75¢
$5.5K
70¢
$20.0K
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
$93.2K
55¢
$51.3K
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$13.8K
30¢
$3.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKT Rolster$30.4K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$73.8K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$19.8K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$15.4K@ 95.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$13.3K@ 60.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHANJIN BRION$12.7K@ 40.4¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION$30.3K@ 37.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaKT Rolster$73.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
111111111115HANJIN BRION$30.3K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
111111111115KT Rolster$28.7K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·2 fills
Sisyphus.KT Rolster$19.8K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
meoooowHANJIN BRION$11.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·2 fills
254321758KT Rolster$10.4K
BUY VWAP 87.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.