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US Open, Qualification WTA: Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Sports→Settlement: Lucrezia StefaniniLiquidity: $335.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.7KEvent: US Open, Qualification WTA: Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini
0.0¢
Ayla Aksu payout
100.0¢
Lucrezia Stefanini payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:30 trades$28.7K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 419 min agoofficial metadata 384 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lucrezia Stefanini · $9.3K net·3 wallets·$9.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLucrezia Stefanini$4.5K@ 94¢·TrajanCapital

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lucrezia Stefanini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayla Aksu' if Ayla Aksu advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Ayla Aksu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lucrezia Stefanini UP 3.6pp · near-book depth $82.4K → $23.1K · 93s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ayla Aksu; negative values favor Lucrezia Stefanini. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAyla Aksu · $236
6hLucrezia Stefanini · $6.0K
24hLucrezia Stefanini · $6.0K

Ayla Aksu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ayla Aksu price. Lucrezia Stefanini fills are converted to the complementary Ayla Aksu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.9¢▼ below by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d13.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ayla Aksu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$13.6K
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$1
5¢
$8.6K
0¢
← now
$3.6K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.