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Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $138.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.4KEvent: US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez
9.8¢
Dolehide
90.3¢
Podrez
18.9¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%
24h sample:18 trades$24.8K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDolehide$6.5K@ 59¢·0xe76a…8e00

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dolehide pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
+$23.4K
tracked
$24.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
18.9¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 18.9¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dolehide or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dolehide" if Caroline Dolehide wins by 2 or more sets than Veronika Podrez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Podrez."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Caroline Dolehide and Veronika Podrez in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dolehide" if Caroline Dolehide wins by 2 or more sets than Veronika Podrez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Podrez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $36.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Podrez DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $42 → $247 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dolehide; negative values favor Podrez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDolehide · $1.5K
6hDolehide · $23.4K
24hDolehide · $23.4K

Dolehide price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dolehide price. Podrez fills are converted to the complementary Dolehide probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.8¢
VWAP 24h57.3¢▼ below by 47.5pp
VWAP 7d57.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dolehide price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21.6K
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez
32.5¢$107.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Dolehide vs Podrez
25.0¢$232priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.