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US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $466.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $369.5KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin
27.0¢
Spencer Johnson payout
73.0¢
Cristian Garin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:153 trades$118.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cristian Garin · $7.8K net·13 wallets·$29.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCristian Garin$17.9K@ 69¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Cristian Garin in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Cristian Garin. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cristian Garin2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cristian Garin@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
Latest book event: Spencer Johnson DOWN 19.5pp · near-book depth $40 → $0 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spencer Johnson; negative values favor Cristian Garin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpencer Johnson · $10.8K
6hCristian Garin · $37.9K
24hCristian Garin · $37.9K

Spencer Johnson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spencer Johnson price. Cristian Garin fills are converted to the complementary Spencer Johnson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.0¢
VWAP 24h29.3¢▼ below by 2.3pp
VWAP 7d29.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spencer Johnson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$4.2K
50¢
$11.0K
45¢
$10.4K
40¢
$3.1K
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$18.2K
25¢
← now
$7.8K
20¢
$8.6K
15¢
$19.8K
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$16.7K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCristian Garin$10.2K@ 85.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCristian Garin$17.9K@ 69.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feCristian Garin$39.0K
BUY VWAP 72.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.