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US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

UncategorizedSettlement: Thiago Seyboth WildLiquidity: $176.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $300.0KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
0.0¢
Raul Brancaccio payout
100.0¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:60 trades$166.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raul Brancaccio · $1.1K net·6 wallets·$6.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$30.1K@ 65¢·0xe30e…6b87

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Seyboth Wild. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild@ 86.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.1pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Thiago Seyboth Wild DOWN 2.7pp · near-book depth $5.9K → $157 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raul Brancaccio; negative values favor Thiago Seyboth Wild. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Seyboth Wild · $53.1K
6hThiago Seyboth Wild · $117.3K
24hThiago Seyboth Wild · $132.5K

Raul Brancaccio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raul Brancaccio price. Thiago Seyboth Wild fills are converted to the complementary Raul Brancaccio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.0¢▼ below by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d25.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raul Brancaccio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$46.0K
35¢
$48.9K
30¢
$54
25¢
$3
20¢
$8.9K
15¢
$4.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$26.6K
0¢
← now
$31.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$20.2K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$25.0K@ 94.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$27.3K@ 57.6¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$30.1K@ 64.5¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 2 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Thiago Seyboth Wild$57.4K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
0b1feThiago Seyboth Wild$25.0K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·1 fill
LhordGryffinThiago Seyboth Wild$20.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
johnny234Thiago Seyboth Wild$12.9K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.