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Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgering

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UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $517.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $151.6KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgering
56.5¢
Jan Choinski
43.5¢
Mees Rottgering
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets44Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$62.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan Choinski · $12.0K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$27.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJan Choinski$12.2K@ 57¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$254
6h
+$20.5K
tracked
$62.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Jan Choinski · $12.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Mees Rottgering in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Mees Rottgering. This market will resolve to 'Mees Rottgering' if Mees Rottgering advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Mees Rottgering DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $16.4K → $14.5K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jan Choinski; negative values favor Mees Rottgering. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan Choinski · $254
6hJan Choinski · $20.5K
24hJan Choinski · $24.0K

Jan Choinski price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jan Choinski price. Mees Rottgering fills are converted to the complementary Jan Choinski probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h47.5¢▲ above by 9.0pp
VWAP 7d47.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jan Choinski price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.4K
55¢
← now
$33.1K
50¢
$4.2K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$76
35¢
$7.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$13.4K
20¢
$245
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJan Choinski$12.2K@ 57.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Jan Choinski$12.2K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.