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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $410.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $7.5KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
55.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:27 trades$27.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh Pirates$13.0K@ 54¢·0xf668…5c69

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Pittsburgh Pirates pressure: $4.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.9K
6h
+$22.0K
tracked
$27.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pittsburgh Pirates or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 30 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5e94…5ba12 linked markets · $62.2K gross
0xc6f9…27c82 linked markets · $87 gross
0x0ad6…eab62 linked markets · $31 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor St. Louis Cardinals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $4.9K
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $22.0K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $24.2K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. St. Louis Cardinals fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.0¢
VWAP 24h53.9¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d53.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$5.9K
50¢
$21.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$13.0K@ 54.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf668…5c69Pittsburgh Pirates$13.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.