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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $161.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $595.5KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
31.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
68.5¢
Chicago Cubs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$300.7K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $39.0K net·5 wallets(2🐋)·$62.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati Reds$70.1K@ 41¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Cincinnati Reds SETUP
What the tape says

Cincinnati Reds pressure: $25.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.0K
6h
−$28.9K
tracked
$300.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $39.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 58

Since latest liquidity absorption: -5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati Reds or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 23:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 30 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $145.8K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $47.2K gross
NiNo9992 linked markets · $37.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 37.0¢6m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Chicago Cubs@ 59.0¢46m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 42.0¢54m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Cincinnati Reds DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $16.7K → $5 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $25.0K
6hChicago Cubs · $28.9K
24hChicago Cubs · $100.5K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h40.6¢▼ below by 9.1pp
VWAP 7d40.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$294.3K
35¢
$6.4K
30¢
← now
$0
25¢
$14
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$25.0K@ 60.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYChicago Cubs$20.6K@ 59.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$70.1K@ 41.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago Cubs$60.0K@ 60.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$10.7K@ 41.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$11.8K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$43.5K@ 60.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$15.2K@ 59.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$13.3K@ 57.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaChicago Cubs$103.5K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
0x3dfb…abafCincinnati Reds$70.1K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingChicago Cubs$35.9K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
NiNo999Chicago Cubs$25.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rChicago Cubs$13.3K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Cincinnati Reds$11.8K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
FeromontCincinnati Reds$10.7K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.