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Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $902.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $379.6KEvent: Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna
0.1¢
Benjamin Hassan
100.0¢
Juan Manuel La Serna
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:144 trades$148.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Benjamin Hassan · $9.9K net·7 wallets·$24.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJuan Manuel La Serna$19.6K@ 100¢·xabidaking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Benjamin Hassan pressure: $42.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$42.2K
6h
+$50.6K
tracked
$148.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: Benjamin Hassan · $9.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Benjamin Hassan or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hassan and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Benjamin Hassan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Juan Manuel La Serna UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $11.5K → $132 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Benjamin Hassan; negative values favor Juan Manuel La Serna. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBenjamin Hassan · $42.2K
6hBenjamin Hassan · $50.6K
24hBenjamin Hassan · $51.5K

Benjamin Hassan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Benjamin Hassan price. Juan Manuel La Serna fills are converted to the complementary Benjamin Hassan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▼ below by 43.4pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Benjamin Hassan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$18.6K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$5.2K
65¢
$4.8K
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$21.9K
50¢
$35.3K
45¢
$10.0K
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$2.3K
30¢
$23
25¢
$55
20¢
$3.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$24
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$37.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJuan Manuel La Serna$19.6K@ 99.9¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—14 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Juan Manuel La Serna$12.6K
BUY VWAP 47.4¢·3 fills
hurricanBenjamin Hassan$10.2K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.