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US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Billy Harris

Sports→Settlement: Toby SamuelLiquidity: $249.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.1KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Billy Harris
100.0¢
Toby Samuel payout
0.0¢
Billy Harris payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:26 trades$73.8K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 573 min agoofficial metadata 565 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLToby Samuel$15.0K@ 100¢·danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Toby Samuel. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Billy Harris in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Billy Harris. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Toby Samuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Toby Samuel10h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Toby Samuel@ 94.4¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Toby Samuel@ 88.5¢10h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.8pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Toby Samuel UP 2.9pp · near-book depth $122.6K → $66.0K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Toby Samuel; negative values favor Billy Harris. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToby Samuel · $3.5K
6hToby Samuel · $12.0K
24hToby Samuel · $12.0K

Toby Samuel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Toby Samuel price. Billy Harris fills are converted to the complementary Toby Samuel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.0¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d89.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Toby Samuel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$44.7K
90¢
$9.9K
85¢
$7.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.0K
40¢
$2.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLToby Samuel$15.0K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYToby Samuel$10.2K@ 96.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYToby Samuel$13.7K@ 97.7¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpToby Samuel$29.5K
BUY VWAP 96.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.