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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote 53s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $81.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $114.9KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
37.5¢
Seattle Mariners
62.5¢
Boston Red Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$49.6K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seattle Mariners · $11.9K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$15.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$24.0K@ 60¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$9.9K
tracked
$49.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Seattle Mariners · $11.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 65 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-07 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 31 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $63.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $30.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $46 → $35.5K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $0
6hBoston Red Sox · $9.9K
24hBoston Red Sox · $13.4K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h40.7¢▼ below by 3.2pp
VWAP 7d40.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$371
45¢
$4.0K
40¢
$41.8K
35¢
← now
$3.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$24.0K@ 60.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$13.9K@ 40.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Boston Red Sox$24.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingSeattle Mariners$13.9K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.