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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote 48s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $271.5KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
50.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers
50.0¢
Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Spread
anomaly27Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:78 trades$109.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 17s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $9.6K net·4 wallets(2🐋)·$39.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$26.0K@ 51¢·Sunny24

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$871
6h
−$20.9K
tracked
$109.8K

4 verified profitable wallets: Milwaukee Brewers · $9.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
100.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -51.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 60 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 100.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-07 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 31 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 51.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 51.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 50.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 52.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMilwaukee Brewers · $871
6hChicago Cubs · $20.9K
24hChicago Cubs · $27.7K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.0¢
VWAP 24h49.2¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d49.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$17.3K
45¢
$92.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$26.0K@ 51.0¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$15.0K@ 51.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$11.0K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$20.8K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sunny24Chicago Cubs$26.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafChicago Cubs$20.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Milwaukee Brewers$19.3K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
BrotherObamaChicago Cubs$15.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.