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UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 20 hoursLiquidity: $66.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $108.5KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
61.5¢
Liu Ce
38.5¢
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:28 trades$54.8K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiu Ce$11.0K@ 61¢·jtwyslljy

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$39.0K
tracked
$54.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 65 minutes old.
  • •Less than 20h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Liu Ce@ 62.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liu Ce; negative values favor Levi Rodrigues Jr.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiu Ce · $0
6hLiu Ce · $39.0K
24hLiu Ce · $38.3K

Liu Ce price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liu Ce price. Levi Rodrigues Jr. fills are converted to the complementary Liu Ce probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h61.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d61.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liu Ce price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$54.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiu Ce$10.5K@ 62.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLiu Ce$11.0K@ 61.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jtwyslljyLiu Ce$41.4K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.