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Monterrey Open: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $392.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $241.6KEvent: Monterrey Open: Panna Udvardy vs Elise Mertens
31.5¢
Panna Udvardy
68.5¢
Elise Mertens
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets53Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:94 trades$91.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 20s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elise Mertens · $19.2K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$24.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElise Mertens$20.0K@ 80¢·tennischamp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Panna Udvardy SETUP
What the tape says

Panna Udvardy pressure: $5.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.6K
6h
−$36.9K
tracked
$91.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Elise Mertens · $19.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: -20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Panna Udvardy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Panna Udvardy and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Panna Udvardy' if Panna Udvardy advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Panna Udvardy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elise Mertens@ 89.0¢55m ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Elise Mertens@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: Panna Udvardy UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $17.5K → $26.0K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Panna Udvardy; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPanna Udvardy · $5.6K
6hElise Mertens · $36.9K
24hElise Mertens · $38.2K

Panna Udvardy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Panna Udvardy price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Panna Udvardy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h15.8¢▲ above by 15.7pp
VWAP 7d15.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Panna Udvardy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$185
25¢
$9.3K
20¢
$28.4K
15¢
$9.2K
10¢
$25.3K
5¢
$19.2K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElise Mertens$20.0K@ 80.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampElise Mertens$21.8K
BUY VWAP 80.5¢·3 fills
FlaznorpElise Mertens$16.1K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·5 fills
ZaiZoiBeleElise Mertens$10.9K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.