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US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Sports→Settlement: Nishesh BasavareddyLiquidity: $134.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $446.1KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy
0.0¢
Arthur Gea payout
100.0¢
Nishesh Basavareddy payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nishesh Basavareddy · $48.8K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$67.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNishesh Basavareddy$34.0K@ 85¢·afraz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nishesh Basavareddy. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-03 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Nishesh Basavareddy in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nishesh Basavareddy@ 88.0¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Gea@ 64.0¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -35.0pp1h INVALIDATED -57.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Gea; negative values favor Nishesh Basavareddy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNishesh Basavareddy · $21.3K
6hNishesh Basavareddy · $40.0K
24hNishesh Basavareddy · $38.8K

Arthur Gea price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Gea price. Nishesh Basavareddy fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Gea probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.8¢▼ below by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d24.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arthur Gea price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$19.9K
60¢
$6.4K
55¢
$24.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$117
30¢
$11
25¢
$14.7K
20¢
$229
15¢
$48.9K
10¢
$750
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$73.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNishesh Basavareddy$17.4K@ 99.9¢
Holtur950xc547…c7f0
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNishesh Basavareddy$13.9K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNishesh Basavareddy$13.8K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNishesh Basavareddy$34.0K@ 84.7¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—7 days ago
BUYNishesh Basavareddy$12.2K@ 71.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—7 days ago
BUYArthur Gea$19.9K@ 65.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpNishesh Basavareddy$38.8K
BUY VWAP 96.9¢·5 fills
afrazNishesh Basavareddy$34.0K
BUY VWAP 84.7¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Arthur Gea$19.9K
BUY VWAP 65.6¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardNishesh Basavareddy$15.2K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·3 fills
n0tTODAYNishesh Basavareddy$12.2K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.