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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $172.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $130.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
36.5¢
Legacy
63.5¢
Team Falcons
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly69Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$55.1K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $12.5K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$12.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$24.0K@ 63¢·StasPanda

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$9.6K
tracked
$55.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Team Falcons · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 64.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $1.1K
6hTeam Falcons · $9.6K
24hTeam Falcons · $35.0K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$55.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Falcons$11.4K@ 64.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons$24.0K@ 63.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

StasPandaTeam Falcons$24.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Team Falcons$11.4K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.