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Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $169.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $256.7KEvent: Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
86.0¢
MIBR payout
14.0¢
Evil Geniuses payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:178 trades$47.0K trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MIBR · $9.2K net·9 wallets·$15.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMIBR$5.0K@ 72¢·MeiGuNiuBi

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 06:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Evil Geniuses.

•This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against MIBR.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between MIBR and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Evil Geniuses. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 18m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 18m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xheavy8883 linked markets · $7.7K gross
MeiGuNiuBi2 linked markets · $6.6K gross
xytest2 linked markets · $5.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Evil Geniuses DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $57 → $43 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MIBR; negative values favor Evil Geniuses. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEvil Geniuses · $5.7K
6hMIBR · $9.0K
24hMIBR · $12.0K

MIBR price VWAP

Volume-weighted MIBR price. Evil Geniuses fills are converted to the complementary MIBR probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current86.0¢
VWAP 24h72.7¢▲ above by 13.3pp
VWAP 7d72.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MIBR price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$8.8K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
← now
$489
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$7.9K
70¢
$9.4K
65¢
$9.5K
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$72
50¢
$102
45¢
$159
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$17
25¢
$166
20¢
$956
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.