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US Open WTA: Venus Williams vs Sofia Kenin

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $285.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $406.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Venus Williams vs Sofia Kenin
2.7¢
Venus Williams
97.3¢
Sofia Kenin
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection81Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets78Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority86Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$176.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sofia Kenin · $86.7K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$110.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSofia Kenin$55.1K@ 96¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sofia Kenin pressure: $142.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$142.8K
6h
−$145.1K
tracked
$176.9K

9 verified profitable wallets: Sofia Kenin · $86.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 86

Since latest liquidity absorption: +2.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sofia Kenin or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Venus Williams and Sofia Kenin in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Venus Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Venus Williams. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Sofia Kenin@ 95.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Sofia Kenin@ 96.0¢31m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Venus Williams; negative values favor Sofia Kenin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSofia Kenin · $142.8K
6hSofia Kenin · $145.1K
24hSofia Kenin · $144.1K

Venus Williams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Venus Williams price. Sofia Kenin fills are converted to the complementary Venus Williams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.7¢
VWAP 24h6.2¢▼ below by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d6.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Venus Williams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$42
10¢
$37.5K
5¢
$45.4K
0¢
← now
$95.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSofia Kenin$13.8K@ 98.9¢0x3ee3…b01c🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYSofia Kenin$13.7K@ 98.5¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYSofia Kenin$55.1K@ 96.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—33 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Sofia Kenin$59.9K
BUY VWAP 95.9¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSofia Kenin$35.1K
BUY VWAP 92.4¢·12 fills
0x3ee3…b01cSofia Kenin$13.8K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
hd777Sofia Kenin$13.7K
BUY VWAP 98.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.