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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $117.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang
92.5¢
Iga Swiatek
7.5¢
Xiyu Wang
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:37 trades$141.3K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 67%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $73.9K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$73.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIga Swiatek$36.6K@ 95¢·vincentchase11

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$65.9K
tracked
$141.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Iga Swiatek · $73.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 63 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Xiyu Wang in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Xiyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Iga Swiatek@ 94.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 94.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 94.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Iga Swiatek@ 94.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Xiyu Wang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIga Swiatek · $0
6hIga Swiatek · $65.9K
24hIga Swiatek · $141.2K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Xiyu Wang fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h94.3¢▼ below by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d94.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$13.4K
90¢
← now
$127.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIga Swiatek$21.8K@ 94.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$11.0K@ 94.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.4K@ 96.5¢
vincentchase110xa8ca…d535
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$36.6K@ 94.7¢
vincentchase110xa8ca…d535
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62Iga Swiatek$72.8K
BUY VWAP 93.9¢·16 fills
vincentchase11Iga Swiatek$52.0K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.