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US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $184.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $141.4KEvent: US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
52.5¢
Valentin Vacherot
47.5¢
Aleksandar Kovacevic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority77Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$91.9K tracked27% 🐋source coverage 65%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Valentin Vacherot · $24.9K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$24.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAleksandar Kovacevic$25.0K@ 48¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Aleksandar Kovacevic SETUP
What the tape says

Aleksandar Kovacevic pressure: $27.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$27.8K
6h
+$27.5K
tracked
$91.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Valentin Vacherot · $24.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 77

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aleksandar Kovacevic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Aleksandar Kovacevic@ 48.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Valentin Vacherot@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Valentin Vacherot@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Vacherot; negative values favor Aleksandar Kovacevic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAleksandar Kovacevic · $27.8K
6hValentin Vacherot · $27.5K
24hValentin Vacherot · $27.5K

Valentin Vacherot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Vacherot price. Aleksandar Kovacevic fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Vacherot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d52.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Vacherot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$91.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAleksandar Kovacevic$25.0K@ 48.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYValentin Vacherot$10.6K@ 53.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYValentin Vacherot$12.4K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYValentin Vacherot$10.0K@ 54.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Aleksandar Kovacevic$25.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Valentin Vacherot$21.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Valentin Vacherot$16.0K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·2 fills
justwinsValentin Vacherot$12.7K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.