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US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $500.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $260.5KEvent: US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton
86.0¢
Yibing Wu
14.0¢
Adam Walton
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$113.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adam Walton · $2.4K net·7 wallets·$15.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdam Walton$35.0K@ 57¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Yibing Wu pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.4K
6h
−$33.6K
tracked
$113.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Adam Walton · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 46

Since latest large flow: -42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Yibing Wu or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Adam Walton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Adam Walton. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Yibing Wu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Adam Walton1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Adam Walton@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: Adam Walton UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $44.6K → $9.2K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yibing Wu; negative values favor Adam Walton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYibing Wu · $3.4K
6hAdam Walton · $33.6K
24hAdam Walton · $44.0K

Yibing Wu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yibing Wu price. Adam Walton fills are converted to the complementary Yibing Wu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current86.0¢
VWAP 24h48.2¢▲ above by 37.8pp
VWAP 7d48.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yibing Wu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$11.5K
70¢
$5.2K
65¢
$0
60¢
$372
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$1
45¢
$16.3K
40¢
$79.2K
35¢
$18
30¢
$1
25¢
$44
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdam Walton$35.0K@ 57.4¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Adam Walton$35.0K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.