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Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $190.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $382.8KEvent: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
100.0¢
Athletics
0.1¢
Seattle Mariners
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:143 trades$172.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $899 net·6 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$42.3K@ 69¢·0x17c4…2471

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Seattle Mariners pressure: $19.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.3K
6h
−$113.1K
tracked
$172.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Athletics · $899 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -65.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Seattle Mariners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 3 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $59.0K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $19.5K gross
0x4f22 linked markets · $8.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Seattle Mariners3h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Seattle Mariners3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 66.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 67.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
Latest book event: Seattle Mariners DOWN 11.5pp · near-book depth $4 → $4 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $19.3K
6hSeattle Mariners · $113.1K
24hSeattle Mariners · $116.9K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.5¢▲ above by 52.5pp
VWAP 7d47.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$17.3K
90¢
$7.6K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$6.7K
65¢
$641
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$16.7K
50¢
$9.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$11.5K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$68.5K
25¢
$8.8K
20¢
$15.3K
15¢
$509
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeattle Mariners$42.3K@ 68.9¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$20.1K@ 67.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Seattle Mariners$42.3K
BUY VWAP 68.9¢·1 fill
0x78be…bde0Seattle Mariners$26.6K
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.