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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.7MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
100.0¢
KT Rolster
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 38 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:455 trades$437.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $25.3K net·38 wallets·$125.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$28.7K@ 64¢·TAIWANNUMBERONE

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Dplus KIA pressure: $28.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$28.5K
6h
+$143.5K
tracked
$437.0K

38 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA · $25.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 32.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dplus KIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against KT Rolster.

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Dplus KIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $58.6K gross
TAIWANNUMBERONE2 linked markets · $45.3K gross
ChonkyChocolateCake2 linked markets · $39.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY KT Rolster42m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY KT Rolster@ 68.0¢45m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp
Latest book event: KT Rolster UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $10 → $71 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dplus KIA; negative values favor KT Rolster. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDplus KIA · $28.5K
6hDplus KIA · $143.5K
24hDplus KIA · $144.5K

Dplus KIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dplus KIA price. KT Rolster fills are converted to the complementary Dplus KIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.8¢▼ below by 38.7pp
VWAP 7d38.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dplus KIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$35.3K
60¢
$124.4K
55¢
$39.6K
50¢
$19.2K
45¢
$17.3K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$6.2K
30¢
$27.5K
25¢
$20.7K
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$9.0K
10¢
$12.2K
5¢
$17.5K
0¢
← now
$100.1K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKT Rolster$12.9K@ 99.9¢
alexdinner0x141a…d05a
🐋—28 minutes ago
SELLKT Rolster$11.0K@ 99.0¢0xe415…0445🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYDplus KIA$15.3K@ 64.0¢
ChonkyChocolateCake0xf23c…9f81
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$28.7K@ 64.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TAIWANNUMBERONEDplus KIA$28.7K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
ChonkyChocolateCakeKT Rolster$18.3K
BUY VWAP 51.8¢·4 fills
ChonkyChocolateCakeDplus KIA$15.3K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
minjiDplus KIA$13.7K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·6 fills
0xheavy888Dplus KIA$13.7K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·6 fills
xytestDplus KIA$12.9K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·6 fills
minjiKT Rolster$11.0K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.