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Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $83.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $110.3KEvent: Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury
47.5¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
52.5¢
Toronto Tempo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Tempo$13.2K@ 53¢·0xf668…5c69

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury" if the Phoenix Mercury win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury" if the Phoenix Mercury win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Phoenix Mercury; negative values favor Toronto Tempo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $0
6hToronto Tempo · $14.3K
24hToronto Tempo · $13.2K

Phoenix Mercury price VWAP

Volume-weighted Phoenix Mercury price. Toronto Tempo fills are converted to the complementary Phoenix Mercury probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▲ above by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Phoenix Mercury price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$15
75¢
$0
70¢
$13
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$110
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$25.3K
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Tempo$13.2K@ 53.4¢0xf668…5c69🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.