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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Natus VincereLiquidity: $126.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $238.1KEvent: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
Natus Vincere payout
0.0¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:48 trades$69.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 133 min agoofficial metadata 98 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $1.1K net·5 wallets·$13.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNatus Vincere$12.0K@ 100¢·cat3xsosal

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Natus Vincere. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 17:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2393938282 linked markets · $6.3K gross
randomniynickname2 linked markets · $5.9K gross
SomonG2 linked markets · $2.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $34 → $17 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $3.4K
6hMOUZ · $12.1K
24hMOUZ · $12.1K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.2¢▲ above by 10.8pp
VWAP 7d89.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$49.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$51
65¢
$14.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$31
35¢
$0
30¢
$573
25¢
$2.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNatus Vincere$12.0K@ 99.9¢
cat3xsosal0x6f04…1fb0
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.