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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 11 minutesLiquidity: $113.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.1KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers
45.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
54.5¢
Detroit Tigers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$18.5K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 205 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers$11.7K@ 52¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$16.9K
tracked
$18.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Detroit Tigers · $11.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 205 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 30 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $47.2K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $8.2K gross
0xa8b3…aeb02 linked markets · $2.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Detroit Tigers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Dodgers · $0
6hDetroit Tigers · $16.9K
24hDetroit Tigers · $15.3K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Detroit Tigers fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 2.5pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$18.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDetroit Tigers$11.7K@ 52.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Detroit Tigers$11.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.